strategic modelling
EV Transition Planning
EV transition planning runs an operator’s existing schedule of work through the same optimiser that produces their daily plans, against a candidate fleet that includes one or more electric classes. Every round comes back sorted by what an EV could do with it. The size of the EV fleet and the charging it needs follow from that. What the four groups mean, and why electrifying a fleet is a planning decision rather than a procurement one, is on the e-HGV transition page.
Last updated: 2026-08-14
Key Capabilities
- The production optimiser, the live data model, and the same EV consumption and in-route charging as daily planning
- Every round sorted into one of four groups: depot-only EV, one-in-route-charge EV, multi-charge or marginal, diesel or alternative fuel only
- The same schedule re-run against summer, winter and heaviest-payload profiles
- Run as a modelling engagement, or self-serve in the strategic workbench
Optrak takes your real schedule of work and sorts it by what an EV could do with it: which rounds run on overnight depot charging, which need one charge mid-route, which still need diesel or another fuel. The e-HGV transition page sets out what those groups mean for an operator and why the decision is a planning one rather than a purchasing one. What follows is how the sorting is done.
How the Rounds Are Sorted
Optrak runs the existing schedule of work through the same optimiser that produces daily plans, configured against a candidate fleet that includes one or more EV classes. Three things do the work:
- The EV consumption model — physics-based per-leg energy against mass, gradient, drive cycle, start time and weather.
- The in-route charging model — charging stops as constraints inside route construction, against charger availability and tariff data.
- The standard data model — orders, products, vehicles, drivers and loading — so every round is judged against the operation’s actual structure, not a simplified version of it.
Every round comes back in one of four groups: depot-only, one-in-route-charge, multi-charge or marginal, and diesel-or-alternative-fuel-only. Where the first boundary falls is a setting, not a fixed figure. A round counts as depot-only when it completes within usable single-charge range with the configured safety margin intact, and tightening that margin moves rounds across the line.
Conditions matter enough to run the schedule more than once. The consumption model that underwrites operational planning underwrites this too, so the same work can be run against summer, winter and heaviest-payload profiles. That separates the rounds whose feasibility depends on the day from the ones that are settled either way.
The second thing the exercise tells you is infrastructure-shaped: how many depot chargers at what power, and where the in-route charges the optimiser placed cluster geographically. The e-HGV transition page sets out how that reads as an investment case.
Running It Yourself
The exercise can be done as a modelling engagement, or in the strategic workbench by the team that owns the transition. There they import the candidate vehicle specifications from a spreadsheet, clone the live dataset, run the production optimiser across it, and read the result back against the diesel baseline — with an experimental AI agent window over the same steps.
Worked Example: A Regional Distributor’s Transition Plan
A regional distributor runs 50 vehicles over roughly 40 routes a day — mixed urban and regional work, payloads from light multi-drop to heavier full-load consolidations. It is committing to electrification over five years and has to defend both the EV fleet size and the depot spend to its finance director.
Optrak runs the actual annual schedule against three candidate EV classes: 7.5t, 18t and 44t artic. Most of the routes come back depot-only, mostly the urban multi-drop work, feasible on overnight charging at 11 kW per vehicle. A smaller set of regional routes need one in-route charge, and those charges cluster around two motorway-services locations. A handful of long-haul rounds sit on the margin — feasible in summer, not in winter — so they are modelled both ways. The longest hauls and the heaviest consolidations stay on diesel.
That is the plan the finance director gets: an EV fleet sized against the first two groups, depot chargers sized to the overnight window, a charging agreement aimed at the two clustered locations, a continuing diesel or HVO commitment for the long hauls, and a date to re-run the exercise as batteries and the public network improve.
[Note: the numbers here are illustrative, pending case-study data from a transition engagement we can publish.]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the exercise produce?
Your existing round set, each round in one of four groups by what an EV could do with it, and the infrastructure that follows: how many depot chargers at what power, and where the in-route charges concentrate. The e-HGV transition page defines the four and says what each one means for the fleet you buy.
What data do you need to run it?
The data that already drives your daily plans — orders, sites, vehicles, drivers, loading rules — plus the specification of the electric vehicles you are considering. Nothing has to be rebuilt for the exercise, which is the point of running it on the operational data model rather than a separate strategic one.
Does the sorting change with weather, season and payload?
Enough that it is worth running more than once. The consumption model that underwrites operational planning underwrites this too, so the same schedule can be run against summer, winter and heaviest-payload profiles. That separates the rounds whose feasibility depends on the day from the ones that are settled either way.
Does Optrak have to run this for us?
No. It can be done as a modelling engagement, or by your own team in the strategic workbench — import the candidate vehicle specifications from a spreadsheet, clone the live dataset, run the production optimiser across it, and read the result back against the diesel baseline.
Related
Technical Summary
The exercise configures a candidate fleet containing one or more EV classes and runs the operator’s existing schedule of work through the production optimiser against it. Per-leg energy comes from the physics-based EV consumption model (Madhusudhanan, Na, Cebon 2021, Cambridge CSRF); charging stops are placed by the in-route charging model as constraints inside route construction, against network and tariff data. Rounds are sorted into depot-only, one-in-route charge, multi-charge or marginal, and diesel-or-alternative-fuel-only; the depot-only boundary is set by usable single-charge range with the configured safety margin intact, so the margin is a parameter of the exercise rather than a fixed figure. Weather, season and payload sensitivity comes from re-running the same schedule against different condition profiles, because the consumption model is the operational one. Depot charger sizing follows from the depot-only rounds against the overnight window; in-route charging locations follow from clustering the charge stops the optimiser placed. The whole exercise runs on the operational data model — orders, products, vehicles, drivers, loading — so the output describes the operation as it runs rather than an abstraction of it.
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